Tout sur Thinking Fast and Slow behavioral economics
Tout sur Thinking Fast and Slow behavioral economics
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The Focusing Erreur (402) “Nothing in life is as sérieux as you think it is when you are thinking about it.” We overvalue what’s in our mind at the moment, which is subject to priming.
The research suggests a surprising plaisante: to maximize predictive accuracy, dernier decisions should Lorsque left to formulas, especially in low-validity environments.
Is he more likely to Sinon a librarian pépite a farmer? Now consider the answer that springs to mind (librarian, I assume): how was it generated? Your mind compared the effigie to the stereotype of a librarian, and made the judgment. Joli this judgment did not take into account the fact that there are many times more farmers than male librarians.
We often vastly overvalue the evidence at hand; livraison the amount of evidence and its quality in favour of the better story, and follow the people we love and trust with no evidence in other cases.
As a result of this, our evaluations of life bien-être can often have very little to do with our real, experiential well being. This presents coutumes with something of a paradox, since we often do things, not conscience how much joy they will bring traditions in the aussitôt, plaisant expérience the nice Réputation they will create. Think embout this: How much money would you spend nous a vacation if you knew that every marque of the experience would Lorsque wiped démodé as soon as the vacation ended, including cliché and even your memories?
If the correlation between the discernement of spouses is less than perfect (and if men and women nous average ut not differ in pensée), then it is a mathematical inevitability that highly pénétrant women will Lorsque married to husbands who are je average less sagace than they are (and bassesse versa, of randonnée).
The answer conscience most people is not much, if anything at all. This is why so many people (myself included) frantically take photographie on their vacations: the vacation is oriented toward a future remembering-self. But perhaps it is just as well that humans were made this way. If Thinking Fast and Slow explained I made my decisions based je what was most pleasant to do in the instant, I doubt I would have made my way through Kant.
I guess I didn't Helvétisme connaissance the details in how the studies were conducted intuition every minor point in the author's theories--though I largely agreed with the theories and interpretations.
Joli considering the logistical restraints of doing research, I thought that Kahneman’s experiments were all quite expertly cadeau, with the relevant variable controlled and additional work performed to check intuition competing explanations. So I cannot fault this.
Our brain is inclined to produce cognitive égarement that come je the scene nous-mêmes different occasions. The effect of framing is Je of the prominent examples of such cognitive traps. It results in people changing their decision or their answer if the offer that oh been made to them pépite question they have been asked is simply reworded.
I decided to read it again from the first Recto because it was recommended by many YouTubers, websites, and podcasts.
At the other pole, sadness, garde, suspicion, an analytic approach, and increased effort also go together. A happy mood loosens the control of System 2 over exploit: when in a good mood, people become more enthousiaste and more creative délicat also less vigilant and more prone to logical errors.
Exercé sometimes measure things more objectively, weighing total number of direct saved, pépite something similar, while many citizens will judge “good” and “bad” frappe of deaths.
You can read it at whatever level you want. You can skim over the more complicated parts and go expérience the pithy délicate.